Now, while still being supportive and all, the crowds at the events will be thinned out considerably by the drizzly weather. Most sane folks will simply take a look at it early and try to cancel their reservations and find out that their money is gone (it is a motorcycle event and they want to make almost as much $$ off you for cancelling as for going).
Now, how much rain and how cold is it going to be (ie can you survive by dressing in $150 worth of insulated rain gear).Cold is down as low as 73
o daytime and 46
o at night up at Jacksonville. Dropping down to the mid state level at Daytona, 77
o daytime and 54
o at night. Rain duration is 5.5 hours and the amounts are 0.34 inches so we are talking about a drizzly constantly on off cold misty light rain and then it thunderstorms occasionally and really dumps some wet really fast.
You are talking about riding around in this and CAMPING out in it.
Der Wif has said HELL NO, that she isn't going to be nursing me through a bout of early retirement motorcycle pneumonia for going and doing something stupid like that. Love that support, honey.Can this forecast change? Yes, it can get better, or it can get worse. The Forecast people get pressured by the BIG Events people to make as optimistic a forecast as they can possibly make as Bike Week is a really big revenue generator for the area and this is their industry -- Tourism.
So they do fudge it to the positive as much as they can.
Last spring we watched forecasts in the touristy NC mountains go get better and better until the day before the event and then they had to post EMERGENCY FLOOD WARNINGS right over the top of their overly optimistic BS stuff.
CAN IT ALL TURN AROUND AND BE BEAUTIMUS? Yes,
but not very likely at this point as we are inside 30 days and they are tracking large building systems "fairly accurately" at this point in time.
Something is coming around the gulf of Mexico aimed at Florida .....ONE WEEK out then they start projecting out the actual rainfall amounts that they can actually observe coming up over over the gulf coast states as the weather systems roll closer to Florida.
It gets a lot more accurate at that point. But right now we are holding out for "improvement" as we get tighter inside of two weeks.
Today I am going to get out all my new heavy rain gear I purchased last spring and put it all on (shoe booties too) --- and consider if I would really want to wear that stuff for a week taking it on and off and on and off.
FACT: I need to take the rain stuff out and put it all on, and then actually practice walking around in it in the cold rain wearing my helmet so I can see exactly how hot and sweaty it all gets (new stuff is supposed to breathe better). Maybe even take a short ride to see exactly where the water gets in if any of the zippers leak ..... go ahead and melt the first set of holes in the pants legs and rip the first crotch seams so you know what you are really really dealing with for ride week protection.
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