Eegore wrote on 02/27/26 at 08:44:49:But violently raping a teenage girl? No, as unlikely as our sun going supernova next month.
Without evidence either way there is a 50% chance in my opinion. There really is no data that suggests men can not rape teenage girls and leave no perpetually traceable evidence behind.
Trump absolutely could have raped a teenager.
But we all know how this works. If you like Trump he could never do it, the logic of proving a negative doesn't apply - and if you don't like Trump he absolutely did do it, the standards of proof applied to all other things does not need to apply.
For everyone else, it's 50/50. Just like all other capable humans.
This is an opinion.
That’s not true. You’re saying without evidence, the odds are 50-50. that would be true if you were flipping a coin. But if you say the odds of a specifically named person having raped a woman is 50-50, that’s not true because the vast, vast majority of people don’t do that so the odds are never 50-50.
Based on the evidence I have in reading all your post over the years, I would never say the odds of you having raped a woman is definitely not 50-50. If your post were regularly filled with constant misogynistic, comments, and uncomfortable images you posted, then my odds might be different because I would have evidence to suggest there’s something wrong.
Given Trump’s previous misogynistic comments, the fact he was a single millionaire in New York for a while, the fact that he was married, having multiple affairs, and admitting to it, I would say his odds are not zero, but they’re nowhere near 50-50. Violently raping a young teenage girl? I would say the odds of that are near zero. He’s been a public figure our entire lives. The behavior a person would exhibit who is capable of that act who has been in the public eye for so long would almost certainly have manifested itself.
I believe in moments of passion, a woman might have decided she didn’t want to go through with it and Trump continued, I could see that happening. But violently raping a 13-year-old girl? No, it’s nearly impossible.
On the other hand, if you were to ask me, what are the odds Trump has committed some type of financial crime, I would say the odds are 95% in favor that he has, not 50/50.