Nothing really new here but I do debate the logic that Israel can't be "destroyed" because they have nukes - so they can only be "humbled".

 But the US can be "destroyed".

 But also both the US and Israel won't use nukes.

zevenenergie wrote on Yesterday at 15:37:27:


WTF are you talking about? Defeated? Destroyed? What world are you on?

You first have to establish that he is presenting something fundamentally new or claiming a revolutionary method before dismissing him as if he were pretending to do so.

Jiang Xueqin is not a statistician or data scientist. He is an educator and commentator who interprets geopolitical developments through historical patterns, cultural context and longterm strategic thinking. Because of that approach his conclusions can sometimes sound speculative, but geopolitical analysis often involves interpreting incomplete information and complex motivations.

What I find interesting about his lectures is that he considers ideological, historical and even religious motivations that are often ignored in more conventional analyses. Whether one agrees with him or not, those factors do play roles in political decision making and international conflicts.

In many discussions these elements are quickly dismissed as “conspiracy theories”. Sometimes that label is justified, but sometimes it simply reflects a lack of familiarity with the historical or ideological background behind certain political positions.

In my view, Israel’s influence on U.S. policy is often underestimated, and Israel clearly pursues its own strategic interests. Jiang addresses this dimension directly, which is one of the reasons I shared the video.

Personally, I think it is important to consult as many sources as possible in order to avoid being trapped in a single narrative or perceived reality.

Looking at the broader geopolitical situation, Iran is also a crucial factor. Its geography makes a conventional ground occupation extremely difficult, something that history has repeatedly shown. Any large-scale confrontation with Iran would likely have major consequences and would not remain confined to a single regional conflict.

The situation also has wider implications because other major powers, such as Russia and China, would inevitably try to gain strategic advantage from such a conflict. For that reason some analysts see the current tensions as a potential turning point in the global balance of power.


At this moment, America has the image of being the strongest in the world, and that is undermined.

American economy is in great danger because the Middle East is currently the largest investor in the AI ​​economy.

The petrodollar is in danger if Iran wins this conflict, because then it can dominate the other oil-producing countries in the Middle East. And the fall of the petrodollar is a major item on the agenda of China and Russia.

Everything is coming together here. And all the ingredients for a world war are present.

There is no exit strategy, because there is simply no way back. This is not Iraq, Venezuela, or Libya; this is a full scale war that America must win. And Jiang states that Russia, China, and Israel want America to lose.

WebsterMark wrote on Today at 05:17:09:


 Yep,
I also believe the GIMME, Fairy Dust Sprinkling, WOKE, Dumb Fucking Idiots.  And the chicken noodle "news' type of, "NEWS" stations,
 
Are doing their best to tell lies.

  (Which is very apparent by some  posts)

zevenenergie wrote on Today at 06:34:11:


Not aware of any, 'Verified Proof', of those happenings.

Could you state your reliable source of that info ?

It seems to me that you are poorly informed.

If what you say is correct,
then why is Trump asking for NATO help regarding the Strait of Hormuz, and why has the American force withdrawn so far away due to incoming missiles against which they could hardly defend themselves? Then why are neighboring countries still being attacked with missiles and drones?

 Because Trump always asks other NATO countries to hold up their end.  Doesn't mean it is right, it is just what he has always done.  NATO - stop watching, if you want the benefits of this operation, provide material support.


Iran has managed to disable the American radar systems in the military bases, making defense against missiles and drones no longer effective.
Israel is keeping the media channels silent because they have suffered significant damage from Iranian missiles.
     

 This right here is a perfect example of filtered media.  

 Take the radar defense sentence.  If all the radar was destroyed, why are there daily videos of missile interceptions?  Of course there will be damage, the system is not perfect.  

 Things like destroying oil production in their own region is not a viable strategy for eliminating direct kinetic threat like a US Carrier group.  Iran has to go the Palestinian route - do a little damage then hope the global pressure to let them live is high enough to stop the US and Israel from continued assault.