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It’s a dirty job (Read 26 times)
WebsterMark
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It’s a dirty job
06/18/24 at 04:15:13
 
I’m a fan of Mike Rowe of Dirty Jobs fame and I saw this exchange on his Twitter site this morning that I found interesting. I write and edit a lot of technical articles for work and so far I have absolutely resisted using chat GPT although many of the articles I edit clearly use it. I just don’t like the idea stating a topic and then having a 2000 word article come back seconds later.

I realize I’m a dinosaur, and I’m purposely refusing to evolve. I also realize a comet has hit and the name of that comet is artificial intelligence. And regardless of how much I resist, the dust is in the air, the sunlight is being blocked, and the food is going away. I’ll starve if I don’t evolve. I really like Mike’s description of AI as something akin to a gun. In the right hands, it’s a useful tool, in the wrong hands, who knows what could happen.

“Mike – I’m the guy from the audience in Nashville who asked you a question last month about the impact of AI on the skilled trades. I loved your answer – (the “insemination” part as well as the “intelligence” part. I should have been more specific about which AI!) Like you, I’m both skeptical and somewhat optimistic about the benefit of the bargain regarding artificial intelligence. (“Skeptimistic” as you called it.) But I just read that you’re collaborating on an AI initiative with a construction company, and I'm wondering if you feel more hopeful that AI is not going to turn us into slaves? Frankly, I worry more with every passing day...” Gary Marsden

Hi Gary – Your question did indeed lead me to compare and contrast the challenges of gathering semen from a bull with the challenges of navigating a brave new world that’s going to be influenced by artificial intelligence in every imaginable way. And for that, I am in your debt.

What’s more interesting however, is the number of times I’ve been asked to comment on the impact of AI on the construction trades over the last year. In short, I think it’s going to help attract more young people into the trades, and that’s a very positive thing. But more broadly, I still think of AI like a smartphone, or a firearm. In the right hands, it’ll be a tool for progress like nothing we’ve ever seen before. In the wrong hands, the capacity for mischief will be amplified to infinity and beyond.

At this point, I'm afraid the poop is out of the goose, and I doubt we can get it back in. So, I’m looking for companies that are using AI in ways that compliment mikeroweWORKS, and one of those companies is Digs. They’re not really a construction company, but they are absolutely impacting the construction industry, both with AI technology that's helping people design new homes, and with collaborative software that streamlines the communication process between the builder, the various vendors involved with every project, and the customer. I won’t turn this into a commercial for Digs, but I will repeat what I said in Nashville – every builder I know, (and I know a bunch), is wide open to working with artificial intelligence. Because every builder I know is currently over budget and behind schedule on every single project. And the reason is universally the same – a paucity of skilled labor.

I know I’m a broken record on this, but every custom home builder I know is over sixty, and all of them employ a dozen or so skilled workers – electricians, plumbers, foundation experts, tile guys, floor guys, etc., none of whom are under fifty-five. This is a monumental shift from just a few decades ago, when the average skilled tradesman was 35 years old. Today, for every five skilled tradesmen who retire, two replace them. It’s been that way for over a decade, and it’s not getting any better.

To answer your question, Gary, I'm still "skeptimistic," in general. But if I was looking for something to lose sleep over, I'd consider the math surrounding the skills gap. A 5:2 ratio of retiring skilled workers is not sustainable. Imagine a workforce with no skilled labor. Imagine a country where new homes take too long to build and cost too much to buy. And old homes never get fixed. Imagine a country where bridges and roads are constantly under construction, and the rest of our infrastructure is literally falling apart around us, because nobody wants to learn a skill that's truly in demand. I’m afraid we're rushing toward a kind of Vocational Idiocracy, and if we don’t do something to inspire, motivate, persuade, induce, cajole, or otherwise encourage the next generation to truly become the Toolbelt Generation, then we’re going to need companies like Digs to help us rethink and retool the way homes get built, along with pretty much everything else. Except of course, for the business of gathering semen from a prized bull.

Last I checked, that’s still a hands-on job.
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Eegore
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Re: It’s a dirty job
Reply #1 - 06/18/24 at 05:49:56
 
 Yeah I remember when people didn't "need the internet."  They just put their ads in the newspaper and answered the phone and that worked just fine, until they went bankrupt.

 Texting was a fad because people can just talk to each other.  Now billion dollar contracts are negotiated, and signed over texts.

 AI is just another situation where the people and businesses that avoid it become obsolete.  The thing with AI is that the time it takes to become obsolete is very short.

 The generational information is very valid here.  I had referenced on this forum before that the issue with getting back to using more coal isn't the environment, it's the workforce.  What 17 year old kid would prefer being in a mine over installing solar on a roof?  Much easier to meet girls from their roof than a hole miles underground.
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WebsterMark
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Re: It’s a dirty job
Reply #2 - 06/20/24 at 06:13:09
 
“Progress” is just a word and it can be misused. My work now brings me into the world of plastic recycling, which as more and more evidence begins to accumulate, may be one of the more disastrous things we’ve undertaken. And it was done all the name of progress. Micro plastics are in all of us now. It’s unavoidable. There’s nothing you can do to avoid getting micro plastics in your system. And much of that comes from recycling.

So no, I’m not automatically sold on AI just like I’m not sold on EV vehicles. I’m of the opinion change should slow and it should produce blood, sweat and tears.
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zevenenergie
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Re: It’s a dirty job
Reply #3 - 06/20/24 at 10:08:38
 
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Do what you know is right. (you can always use fear as a counselor later)
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