I read this when it came out trying to switch my night/day schedule, it is significant and has some good points but I have some issues with it.
"Dr. Mike Yeadon, a former Vice President and Chief Science Officer for Pfizer for 16 years, says that half or even “almost all” of tests for COVID are false positives. Dr. Yeadon also argues that the threshold for herd immunity may be much lower than previously thought, and may have been reached in many countries already."
How does this explain the people in long-term care in medical centers in the US?
They say:
"Another useful measure of disease impact is the Adult Critical Care Bed Occupancy which showed a peak in bed demand between April 7th and 23rd with the number of patients occupying critical care beds significantly higher than our national baseline capacity. However, by the end of May the occupancy had dropped back to pre-COVID-19 levels, well below the national baseline capacity and has shown no statistical change since."
Yet they won't reference the SCCM data. I wonder why.
https://www.sccm.org I'm no more of a fan of the Furguson model than anyone else (It wasn't used in CO, I can't say for sure today) in this article, but don't tell me what information says, conveniently leave it out just for me to see that what you say is not accurate, but only, conveniently, in the portion that was omitted.
I am not concerned about a second wave, I am concerned about SARS-COV-2 and the seasonal flu interacting together. This will have the same undesired effect of too many people requesting care in too short of a timeframe, but at least some preparation can be made.
"
The authors recognise that the exact number in this example is speculative, but conversations with immunologists indicate that this principle is widely accepted as reasonable for community infection where viral load varies widely and contrasts markedly with seroconversion after vaccination, where the goal is close to 100%."
Convenient that immunologists are to listened to on this to create speculative information, but if it is something we don't want to do (like wear a mask) those same immunologists are wrong and shouldn't be listened to.
We have to take the good with the bad on this and stop accepting this portion from a data pool and not accepting the part you don't like.
Accept that we expel fluids, accept that we can be infected/contagious and not know, accept that some people won't read the real laws, accept some won't listen to the actual guidelines and be morons on boats with masks.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160762v2