This is more than an article, it’s closer to being a small book and given the data, it takes a serious commitment to get thrust, BUT, my spider sense is telling me there is significant truth in here. I think the majority of us intuitively questioned the measures all the world’s governments are taking. It may take a long time to shake out and it will have to over come the “what’s wrong with taking an abundance of caution” card laid on the table right next to the “so you’re choosing the economy over people’s lives” card, but I think we’ll eventually see we took a mole hill and turned it into more than a mountain, we put Everest on everyone’s front lawn.

https://medium.com/six-four-six-nine/evidence-over-hysteria-covid-19-1b767def589
4

That crap is all irrelevant when there's an election needing to be won.

Cool.
Srinath.

Yeah, the people are seeing what powers others want...
Especially when
It's
For Your Own Good...

If you Don't let us keep you safe
We'll punish you...

Yeah,, actions have consequences
Elections come along..
And
Next time
The people will have had something to remember

"I don't think my life is worth my Grand children having to live in Socialist poverty."

 You just need to get 51% of the voting population to prefer death over stimulus packages and staying home for a while.

"83% on the cruise ship
Didn't get it
Of 17% who did
8%
Had no symptoms

So, 8% did..
They didn't all die.
It's NOT as bad as you seem ready to tell."

 Before we even get into this conversation are you wanting to only use cruise ship data and not data from the rest of the world?

 You have a history of cherry-picking the data you want to accept and use as reference, so can information from Colorado be used here, or are you going to say the cruise ship is a direct analogue to the entire globe?

 "Massaged data" leaves the door wide open to say I like this one, but not that one, but whatever you also said 27 professionals working on over 100 thousand human ears were all wrong because you pressed on your wife's ear.

 Also we don't have a definition of "bad".  As in your definition of "bad" may be different than mine, so I am going to go with the breakdown that this is not the flu, and is spreading more rapidly with a higher percentage Case Fatality rate than the Standard Flu, and that the R0 rate is indicative of a healthcare issue that exceeds current medical resource and supply in the US.

 This is a very simple breakdown with charts and references:

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130

 A second source with near identical results:

http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9a9b-fea8db1a8f51

 A more complex but more thorough breakdown of the metrics I use:

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2002032

 Well known and accepted information on the "Standard Flu"  

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/symptoms/symptoms.htm
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm

 My definition of Case Fatality Death is the number of cumulative deaths divided by the number of cumulative cases at a specific point in time.

 Given the numbers presented in all three references above we can estimate that approximately 22,030 deaths were reported worldwide with 1,046 deaths in the U.S., as of Mar. 26, 2020.  This includes the cruise ship.

 With R0 for standard flu being about 1.3, SARS-CoV-2 is estimated , at this time, to be averaged at 2.5 worldwide.  This is more than double the rate of the flu.  Comparing the metrics from the 5 references above it doesn't take a genius to calculate that SARS-CoV-2 has a Case Fatality rate 9 to 10 times higher than standard flu.  This includes the cruise ship.

 This does not mean an end to man.

 However humans infected utilize a considerably longer medical center stay in specialized (ICU and similar) care with specialized equipment like ventilators.  This does mean that medical centers can not treat US citizens at a rate that is equal to or greater (faster than) the rate of infection.  So with the lack of a vaccine, the doubled R0, and the multiplied fatality rate this virus exceeds the means we have to conduct traditional treatment.

 Given that we know that SARS-CoV-2 will exceed the volume of care, I feel alternate measures should be taken to reduce impact on the medical care aspect, such as promoting proper hygiene practices and yes social distancing.  Reducing the number of people interacting within droplet contamination potential reduces infection rate, that reduces medical need, that reduces Case Fatality rate.

 So I consider SARS-CoV-2 to be "bad" because it has proven in multiple locations to overwhelm the specialized care availability and the US has presented zero evidence that there is currently adequate equipment and staffing to exceed the current infection rate.

"Bullshit
Those were different ears.
CARTILAGE doesn't grow in different places in a few hours after death.."

 Ok all those experts are wrong, your evidence is your wife's ear.


 Are all the SARS-CoV-2 experts wrong too because the isolated cruise ship numbers differ slightly from the rest of the world?  Is the US medical system actually just fine?  Are all of the metrics I provided incorrect?

"I see conflicting predictions."

 We all do, but do we prioritize predictions from internet analysts sitting at home that never even heard the word epidemiology until last week, or from 27 of the planets biological research foundations?

 I'm willing to go with international consensus and data from people working with dead bodies, not ideas from people sitting safe at home.

"Some are selling fear
Ohhh, Trump failed..
Some are saying
It's gonna blow over soon.."

 Agreed.  I'm not interested in the fear mongering, I'm interested in public safety.  I recommend courses of action based off of data, pretty much what I have posted here along with some metadata metrics I am not allowed to post.  

 This idea that people congregating won't increase the need for medical care is complete nonsense.  Like MnSpring saying people with non-critical care issues like "papercuts" are causing a hospital care shortage, that's complete nonsense, no medical center could maintain its operating licenses if they hooked ventilators to patients that were there for lacerations.


"If the chloroquine whatever is made available, supplies good, things might cool out pretty soon"

 Chloroquine hasn't had much success but the studies are limited.  Given the side-effects I wouldn't think a mass-dosage would be recommended anytime soon but I could be wrong on that.  

https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/results?cond=COVID-19

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/therapeutic-options.html


 In any case I think calling this nothing more than a bad flu is very inaccurate.  Saying we wont be like Europe because we don't greet by kissing cheeks is very inaccurate.  I'm not pro-killing businesses, or losing jobs, I am paying my employees full wages but I am lucky I can do that.  If I qualified for the stimulus check(s) I'd give them away.

 Unfortunately my desire to keep local businesses in operation won't save lives.  If I saw any conclusive evidence that the US medical system could keep SARS-CoV-2 patients alive I would be arguing against Polis in CO.  But the data speaks otherwise, the metadata infers otherwise, so instead I am helping implement the medical equipment accreditation efficiency process because I know that will save lives.  


"And no record of who voted for
And against.."

 Do you mean to say the voice count is not a record?