Eegore wrote on 08/30/19 at 16:08:44:
I don't agree. I think some long term, not short term models are correct and useable ...
This is the fundamental part of disagreement.
'Long/Short Term'.You also said:
Eegore wrote on 09/02/19 at 16:30:47:
... I understand you do not think decades old is not long-term ...
... I am providing information based off my own...
... I am using models that are 35 years 4 months old. To me, that is long-term given the timeframe that digital weather modeling has been available...
I say even 35 years is very short term.
That comes from 'man' being on this planet for 6,000 +/- years.
That comes from 'man' manipulating, water and land to cultivate for 3,500 +/- years.
That comes from, 'man' using cars/industry for the last 200 years.
That comes from, in the late 60's early 70's, the, 'Ice Age' is coming.
When in study, of,
(no computers 6,000 or even 3,000, or even 100 years ago), the Earth, it shows very fundamental changes that have/had nothing to do with Man.
Those studies of the earth/geography, are long term.
The weather stations, which are in the same places for the last 35 years, which provide data for,
...digital weather modeling..., are, short term.
Also, consideration must be given to the vary fundamental nature of the 'man'.
A 'man', relies on 'grants', to feed family, and drive a nice car.
Getting the 'grants' relies on what that the 'man' says they believe.