If Trump loses Texas,.. it's over.
Current polls show Biden leading by an average 3 points.

Texas has 11 Republican Congressmen retiring,.. (mainly because they know they can't win as Texas becomes blue) more retirements to come
(they're referring to it as Texodus)

El Paso didn't help

Trump's attack's on the squad, particularly AOC don't help

Zac McCrary, a Democratic pollster, said: "Trump has really turned out to be an accelerant for energising young voters, and voters of colour. At the same time Trump has so deeply alienated suburban white voters in numbers that are mind-boggling."