I think it's wishful thinking for a few reasons.
First, he didn't win in some sort of landslide (70K votes in the electoral is all that he actually won by).
Assuming your number is true, why would those 70k change votes? His approval numbers don't indicate that they likely will.Not to worry, those number are true. It's a fact that he does indeed have a strong base. But it's never been more than 45%. Given that he's averaged about 40% overall, he's not in any position to gloat.Second, he's only rubber stamped the establishment republican manifesto - the tax cuts for the rich. He himself hasn't delivered. No new health care, Mexico didn't pay for the wall, Hillary's not locked up, etc.
Most people received a tax cut so they don't buy the tax cuts for the rich. Sorry, but nowhere near "most people" received a tax cut.
http://time.com/5570679/trump-tax-cuts/Third, with an economy that is arguably doing well, he still can't get above 45% approval. That in itself says a lot.
His approval was less than that when he won the election.Indeed it was. Thus why he lost the popular vote by 3 million.
trump is his own worst enemy.
I have a funny feeling that he will suffer big time in the debates. Biden, Warren, Harris or whomever will have so much red meat to chew on. He's going to constantly be on the defensive.
That's what Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Marco Rubio etc... thought. Perhaps, but they don't have the ammo that trump's given these new dems now. His failed border wall, the tax cuts for the rich, the incessant tweeting, the Mueller investigation, the sex abuse allegations, the Revolutionary War airports, the getting laughed at by the UN, "covefe", etc., etc.Think about it - all he's done is the tax cuts. That's it. Other than that, he's just repealed Obama policies by EO.
Today's economy is better than when he took office. Consumer confidence is higher. Wages have increased. No one's denying that. However, like me, most people know that the economy was on a good path when he took office. The actual fact is, Obama's 3 year numbers were better than trump's. He can try and take credit all he wants, but the fact are there.Hell, all the dems have to do for their campaign ads is run his Twitter feed and his "wonderful" speeches.
They don't have to do that. Everyone knows exactly who Trump is. They knew exactly who he was November of 2016 and those 70K still voted for him. What has he done to change that? I don't see anything. Look no further than the midterms. He's lost a huge portion of those states that help make up that 70K. Again, these are just facts.Now, I'm not saying that it's impossible for him to win again, but it's improbable given his history and the majority of the country disliking him.
Again, the majority disliked him before the election. Yep, and the ammo he's given out over these last 3 years will come back to get him. He's the only president I've ever know of to be sitting on top of an economy like this, with those low poll numbers.
He is his own worst enemy.And before you say it - no, I'm not going to bet you.