WebsterMark
Serious Thumper
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SuzukiSavage.com Rocks!
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"You're making the mistake that economis is a science. It's not, or at the very least, the variables are so numerous as to be akin to quantum mechanics."
I agree but you are removing the possibility for failure. You say that its incorrect for anyone to say tariffs are bad because the sample is too small (short time horizon) but you can also say that the tariffs are good and just part of the cure. With the exact, same, timeframe.
I mean you don't think cancer treatment is a science, yet with tremendous variables?
You are Pro-Trump so the verifiable math that shows a drop is just part of the process to improvement.
Others that are Anti-Trump say that the verifiable math that shows a drop is part of the process of failure.
I don't care who implemented the tariffs so I say the verifiable math that shows a drop is part of the process. That's it.
The math shows given the time sample that tariffs, at this time, are not productive on the global average for the US. At this time. If this trend continues the US consumer will pay more than standard inflation trends over time.
I think the issue is Pro-Trump will refuse to accept that the tariffs as they are now may not work, and the Anti-Trump will refuse to accept that the tariffs as they are now may succeed. So instead of looking at empirical evidence for what it is and using it productively they argue about the evidence when they are really arguing over Trump.
I don't think it's true that pro-Trump supporters will refuse to accept bad outcomes. Look at Ann Coulter's attacks on Trump for his failure to deliver on his central campaign promise, building a wall.
However, I'm not turning on Trump because I see no downside to his Presidency at the moment. Unlike Ann, I think Trump has pushed the wall issue appropriately. He's facing a situation where leftist are willing to cut off their nose (loose their country) to spite their face (claim a Trump defeat). The tariffs had an impact on my company's business. Not much, but a slight negative impact. Regardless, our senior management is looking at the long term benefit if it's successful which is why we aren't judging its success yet.
I hired Trump to slow the advance of Democratic liberalism which he's done. I don't see any major mistakes Trump has made. When/if he does, I'll be the first to call him on it. He's had minor hiccups; the idea of a big military parade was stupid and I have not heard anything else since. I don't like the idea of a big July 4th thing in DC.
Now, will the Trump haters ever admit in the future tariffs worked? Never. I read this morning wage growth has hit a 10 year high along with dozens of other record economic measurements. Fools like TT will still claim this is in spite of Trump.
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