https://e-catworld.com/2020/11/25/rossi-we-are-preparing-something-really-imp...Lots of money is being spent on something right now and Rossi is complaining a bit Rossi: “We Are Preparing Something Really Important”
Posted on November 25, 2020 • 4 Comments
I think most readers here are wondering what is going on now in Andrea Rossi’s lab. We have been told by him that there will not be a presentation this year, but possibly in the first quarter of 2021. The only vague details he has provided is that they are working on issues of reliability. Gerard McEk brought up this subject with a question on the Journal of Nuclear Physics:
Gerard McEk
November 22, 2020 at 10:24 AM
Dear Andrea,
A few weeks ago you said you possibly have a solution to make the Ecat more reliable.
Have you made any progress in the reliability or are you still working on that?
Thanks, kind regards, Gerard
Andrea Rossi
November 22, 2020 at 11:29 AM
Gerard McEk:
The work is in progress, and day by day we are eliminating the weak points.
Warm Regards,
A.R.
I was curious about the difficulty of the work they are involved in is, so I followed up:
Frank Acland
November 22, 2020 at 3:26 PM
Dear Andrea,
Glad to hear you are making progress. How difficult are the problems you have to deal with?
Andrea Rossi
November 22, 2020 at 4:18 PM
Frank Acland:
I do not see problems we cannot resolve. We are preparing something really important. The work is hard, the important is to stay calm.
Warm Regards,
A.R.
And in response to a question from Xavier Pitz about what level the E-Cat has reached on a scale of “too easy” to “insane”, one year after announcing it, Rossi replied, “The answer is: “insane”. And extremely expensive.”
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Gerard McEk • 4 hours ago • edited
Concerning:
And in response to a question from Xavier Pitz about what level the E-Cat has reached on a scale of “too easy” to “insane”, one year after announcing it, Rossi replied, “The answer is: “insane”. And extremely expensive.”
AR replied to me that the ’reliability’ has ‘improved’ to the level ‘insane’ and it’s the ‘development cost’ that are ‘extremely expensive’
The interpretation of this ‘insane’ for the reliability improvement is difficult. It could mean it is near to ‘forever’ reliable or that the reliability is, despite the enormous development cost, still marginal. I think it is the latter. "
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Gerard McEk Gerard McEk • 3 hours ago
See in JoNP:
Gerard McEk
November 25, 2020 at 3:25 PM
Dear Andrea,
A few days ago you replied to Xavier Pitz that the Ecat SKL has risen to the level ‘insane’ and ‘extremely expensive’.
Does this ‘insane’ mean that the Ecat SKL has improved in
1. reliability?
2. output power?
3. efficiency?
4. usability?
5. scalability?
6. simplicity?
7. complexity?
8. producibility?
9. ability to integrate in 3rd party products?
10. market value?
11. another aspect?
12. But also that it has become very expensive to buy, or is it the development cost you are referring to?
I hope you soon will reach the moment to openly show and present your baby!
Kind regards, Gerard
Andrea Rossi
November 25, 2020 at 3:47 PM
Gerard McEk:
1
Development cost
Warm Regards,
A.R.
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Roland Gerard McEk • 2 hours ago
That's hilarious Gerard.
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Nixter • 7 hours ago • edited
More never ending improvements and breakthroughs leading to redesigns and setbacks. The "device" probably is getting better with each iteration, the true final version will be introduced out of necessity, like when a competitors product is about to be released. Dr Rossi is on to something, his partners and he will present the world with something breathtaking and sci-fi like even if only half of what he says is true. An unattended self powered box that generates power for extended periods of time should get the attention of the many factions monitoring this incipient branch of new science. I haven't heard much publicly released from Chinese R&D teams, their government and military has to have an eagle eye on the field. Military applications will be ripe for anything that needs energy to run. Will Dr. Rossi and partners sell to military concerns, will it matter with competition close behind?===================================================
Rossi now has some automotive customers who are now wanting PPAP level documentation as a routine sort of thing and Rossi is now complaining about the cost and detail levels that this certification requires.
Rossi has always sought certification at a much lower "sigma 5" level (a Rossi coined term that exists nowhere else)as some of his data is time consuming and difficult to collect in a variables fashion
and any controller spike can indicate an out of control condition that causes him to FAIL STANDARD AUTOMOTIVE PPAP CERTIFICATIONThe Japanese (Mizuno group) are getting ready to release a commercial heat only product and Rossi is now under the gun to perform (to release a fully documented PPAP'd product with a controller that shows that firm 6 sigma statistical control is in place).
Rossi is having to "hurry up and do PPAP level exhaustive testing" and that stuff isn't any fun to do personally, so you can understand it is becoming time for Rossi to turn it all over to a Distributor/Major Customer or two that are experienced in this area (with a very carefully written contract so Rossi can collect his money and his Nobel Prize) and then simply retire to go fiddle around in his lab).
Use of the dry plate graphene battery trick (3 graphene batteries in charging, cool down, discharge rotation cycle) to take out all the controller spikes and output noise variations, this is what would give Rossi a statistically stable process, but at lower output numbers. You can feed it some output trash and it will give you statistical stability after it cools down a bit and begins the discharge cycle to the main batteries. This is where you define your "output" as taking place.
Rossi has always reported "raw" single point development data, now he has to understand that he can only EVER report statistically stable process output numbers, numbers which are generally much lower than raw single point cherry picked numbers .......
Having initially set his "print limits" off of a few bits of cherry picked raw data, Rossi is screwed as he goes for PPAP based off his early claims.
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Finally understanding what is required for Automotive PPAP certification, Rossi chooses to try again to search out a less demanding industrial market for his initial introduction.
At least one of his initial potential "major distributor/customers pairs" is pure automotive. This pair will have to support a large workload to get all of what they are demanding, as Rossi isn't equipped to give it to them "on demand".
Asking for PPAP data and analysis off a development process isn't realistic until there is a stable existing production process to PPAP.
The "easy markets" Rossi could go for in the USA are all under the thumbs of Big Oil and are mostly unavailable to him in the USA because of Big Oil contractual agreements. See Rossi have to move his initial product to Scandinavia or to Japan to be close to his first big customers, the ones with no oil resources of their own, in areas that will truly want his product.
Rossi is still PROMISING a full display of his SKL tech in 2021, but this will be after a lot of work is done to increase the control reliability on a naturally erratic process output.
Rossi is an old man now, and he is not able to fight all of "them" all over the place as he did when he was younger.
Rossi comes across as acting old and tired and frustrated at times. Generally, when this happens he needs to take a week-long break and regenerate himself.
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Rossi currently has an industrial safety certifications for a simple heating device, trying to get the same safety certification for something based upon Zero Point Energy (i,e,"lightning in a toolbox") is going to be a far far far different kettle of fish. Especially something with 980 volts DC as its primary output voltage. Such would require drop testing and swinging ball testing and crash testing, testing that would have to keep that voltage under control during an emergency shut down after the box got "run over by a truck tire" or "getting involved in a train wreck".
Rossi still needs to find his George Westinghouse, somebody to handle the financial, legal and certification testing aspects of his first product.
Rossi lacks the electronics skills and the money
and the available life span to do this onerous task by himself. He keeps getting bushwhacked by things he doesn't foresee, things like PPAP requirements and ball test and crash test requirements as HE HAS NO STABLE (LONG TIME IN PLACE) PRODUCTION PROCESS TO RUN THESE REQUIREMENTS AGAINST ......