So, Intel once again fires a big blast of brown far future vapor with much blowing of the trumpets and beating of the PR drums.
"Why" is always the question that pops up when Intel pushes out a big "year plus out into the future" butt gas blast -- this generally only happens whenever they have to explain themselves to their stockholders.
Still, SOME relevant information is released at that point in time. Here is the gist of what Intel will be able to do in volume sometime in 2015 at 14nm making a 5% speed upper and a 20% energy savings on their existing totally non-integrated design.
A non-integrated design that is still too porky go go into a phone and can only go into larger tablets and laptops. Remember, Intel is talking about a year out into the future with all this -- so let's compare it to what Samsung will be shipping inside of 30 days in their new mid-line phone, the Samsung Galaxy Alpha.
THIS IS A MID-LINE SAMSUNG PRODUCT FOR NOW THROUGH CHRISTMAS, IT IS NOT THE LATEST AND GREATEST SAMSUNG SUPERPHONE OR SUPERCHIP (which is called the Exynos 5433 and will become product shipping & real exactly when Apple announces their new A8 chipset and the IPhone products in October) Samsung and Apple jest really love each other, can't you tell?
http://liliputing.com/2014/08/samsung-launches-exynos-5430-octa-core-20nm-pro... "The Samsung Galaxy Alpha smartphone will be the first device powered by a 20nm Exynos 5430 processor when the new metal-clad phone ships in September.
Samsung says the new chip will use about 25 percent less power than its predecessors, which helps justify the decision to use an 1,860mAh battery in the Galaxy Alpha instead of a larger 2,800 Ah battery like the one used in the Galaxy S5."1860/2800 = 33% reduction in real battery size so I would say the 25% claimed power reduction is about right.
Speed is claimed to be a little faster than the current primo 5422 chipset, so Samsung is now swinging a new mid-line phone that has all the performance of their old primo phone in a thinner cooler running package that only needs 33% less of a battery.
Let's talk about package size a bit -- how big is the new 5430 chipset? You would think since it is fully integrated (has everything inside it, GPS, radio, etc etc it would bulk pretty large compared to just a simple daughter-board containing the CPU and GPU the way Intel has to do it, right?
Nope, it is considerably smaller.
This entirely integrated
fully functional 8 CPU cores, 6 GPU cores, Radio and GPS already in there cell phone ready system on a chip that
already OUT PERFORMS Intel's promised vapor specs for 2015 is a small <28mm square chipset that is
already smaller than the Intel's vapor promised 14nm chip's 30mm length dimension.
Here is a pic of the last gen Odroid board showing the actual Exynos 5422 chipset (the one which was die shrunk to make up this latest Samsung Octa 5430 chipset). The old 28nm Exynos 5422 measured ~28mm square as shown below in a real product, so the new 20nm Exynos 5430 die shrunk model will of course measure smaller accordingly.
Note how full integration means there isn't much on that Odroid motherboard other than the connector jacks ?????
Please remember, this is a fully operational PC motherboard, not a stripped down tablet or phone board.<28mm square for a fully integrated 8 core Exynos chipset right now vs a 30mm x 16.5mm daughterboard that requires all those additional main chipsets to make up a functioning unit of any kind.
Intel's vapor plan for next year has to include spending all that red ink support money to pay for all the extra components that their vendors will still need to put on the larger motherboards make up a STILL slightly non-competitive Intel based product.
Sorry Intel, you just told us yet again that you are still going to be 2 years behind the times in mobile even with your wonderful new 2015 vapor plan.LASTLY, INTEL'S LAST CLAIM TO "TECHNOLOGICAL LEADERSHIP" JUST WENT UNDER THE WHEELS OF THE REALITY BUS -- SAMSUNG AND QUALCOMM AND APPLE ARE NOW ALL CURRENTLY SHIPPING 20nm LITHOGRAPHY PRODUCTS AND INTEL IS STILL JUST SHIPPING 22nm.
..... not to mention everything you sell in mobile costs you far far more to build than you can sell it for in the real world.
Right now you approach 100% total loss on your mobile division and are well over the 100% loss position on some of your chipsets.Pay attention Intel, Tegra K1 is the first ARM chipset that is actually aimed at your bread and butter laptop/PC business. Samsung is coming out with one in a month or two, as are Qualcomm and (don't forget about them) Apple and their A8 and A9 64 bit generations which will hit your high end tablet and laptop businesses pretty hard.
Americans like their Apple stuff, better than they like yours and Microsoft's stuff as a matter of fact.
Once you see some more real ARM pc/laptop competition (and a general purpose ARM OS to support it) then you will have much more of a even playing field in the PC/laptop world.
Then Intel will lose all the excess profitability in PC that currently funds their "total loss leader mode" in their mobile products.