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General Category >> Politics, Religion (Tall Table) >> Question of the day......
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Message started by raydawg on 06/24/16 at 05:08:04

Title: Question of the day......
Post by raydawg on 06/24/16 at 05:08:04

Why does polling, or the reporting of results, seem to be off from the final tally, and it always seems that the liberals never fare in the final count as the polls suggest?

Anybody want to hazard a guess?

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by Serowbot on 06/24/16 at 07:07:44

Not true... remember how Romney had the election in a landslide?... :-?

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by raydawg on 06/24/16 at 07:17:20

No, at the end of the campaign, right before the election?
You got a viable link?

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by Serowbot on 06/24/16 at 07:40:38

Take your pic...
https://search.yahoo.com/yhs/search?hspart=ddc&hsimp=yhs-linuxmint&type=__alt__ddc_linuxmint_com&p=romney+surprise+loss

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by raydawg on 06/24/16 at 08:12:13

These are after the fact of his campaign and supporters getting it wrong, not the press polling/data they print.

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by Serowbot on 06/24/16 at 08:31:26

54475F42475141260 wrote:

These are after the fact of his campaign and supporters getting it wrong, not the press polling/data they print.

That included the entire Right Wing... and all their pollsters...
I remember Fox being so stupefied it took them several hours to swallow the results...

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by justin_o_guy2 on 06/24/16 at 08:55:45

Exit polling is done For all By one company.
What could go wrong?

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by Paraquat on 06/24/16 at 09:17:47

http://www.yourememberthat.com/files/e76a4340fd819430.jpg

--Steve

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by justin_o_guy2 on 06/24/16 at 10:42:55

So,basically what has happened is, people have concluded that Their candidate was gonna win , for whatever reasons.
If actual polling numbers were the base for that, then what happened?

Was it lazy voters, Seeing Their Guy so far up in the polls that they decided that their vote wouldn't be needed to Sweep him into office?
Can polls ever be wrong? A margin of error, sure, but, wrong ?

Dewey didn't have a great presidency, did he?
Can you imagine being the publisher of that paper?

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by raydawg on 06/24/16 at 10:52:29

46595F5845427343734B59551E2C0 wrote:

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by oldNslow on 06/24/16 at 10:55:20

I wonder what % of folks answer the opposite of what they really think just to screw with the poll taker(or just because they were annoyed that they got a call in the middle of dinner).

Probably ought to take a poll to find out.

Only way to know for sure.

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by Serowbot on 06/24/16 at 12:17:21

When I get pollster calls,.. I hang up...
The question is,... which way do the average hanger-upper's lean?...
I would guess,... more conservative... (myself ,being an outlier)...

... or. am I wrong?...
Conservatives tend to be more outspoken... (I see more Conservative, bumper stickers, hats, t-shirts,yard signs, flags, etc)... Perhaps they would be more likely to participate in polling?...

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by raydawg on 06/24/16 at 12:35:04

6771667B63767B60140 wrote:

Funny, I hang up too, but I see way more liberal bumperstuckers where I live ;D

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by old.indian on 06/24/16 at 12:38:18

With caller ID, I don't even answer the 'phone....
When you refer to polling results you need to remember that the questions ask and the wording of how they are ask is designed to give the results of what the group/people who commissioned/are paying for the poll want to hear.. "Focus Groups" are manipulated in the same manner. 8-)

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by Serowbot on 06/24/16 at 12:41:41

Bunch of hippies up there in the PNW... ;D...

Title: Re: Question of the day......
Post by justin_o_guy2 on 06/24/16 at 13:27:18

2F3C24393C2A3A5D0 wrote:

[quote author=46595F5845427343734B59551E2C0 link=1466770084/0#8 date=1466790175]So,basically what has happened is, people have concluded that Their candidate was gonna win , for whatever reasons.
If actual polling numbers were the base for that, then what happened?

Was it lazy voters, Seeing Their Guy so far up in the polls that they decided that their vote wouldn't be needed to Sweep him into office?
Can polls ever be wrong? A margin of error, sure, but, wrong ?

Dewey didn't have a great presidency, did he?
Can you imagine being the publisher of that paper?

My question was why does it seem the democrats seem to be on the losing end way more?
Bot tried one race incident, as if that answered the question, which might very well have in his own mind.

Is it the democrat supporters say they will vote, but don't flow through more, a media manipulation, or?
[/quote]

That's your perception. It's possibly exactly correct, but I can't remember what Was in polls, and I don't know if what you are saying is right or wrong,, I straight up don't remember what the pre election polling was, margins of error, etc.