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Message started by Oldfeller on 02/02/14 at 19:25:39

Title: India and China EACH 2014 c'pute > USA
Post by Oldfeller on 02/02/14 at 19:25:39


Just how relevant IS your marketplace to cell phone, tablet and laptop makers?

http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/jan/13/smartphone-explosion-2014-india-us-china-firefoxos-android

Harsh fact is that nobody cares about the USA very much any more.   Ours is a slowing and completely saturated marketplace.   By and large, our tech base is aging out and it is NOT getting rapidly replaced compared to other parts of the globe.

Our USA big event, the Vegas CES was not even attended by all the big players (it was mostly a television/washing machine show according to many reports this past year).   Many of the real techno booths were small and no real wave of huge product announcements were made at the show.

The World Mobile Congress in Barcelona is a small regional show that takes place this month.  It will likely be a bit more robust show than the USA CES was this year, with more pointed focus on mobile.


Computex Taipei will be the really big show where all the real nuts and bolts announcements and demos are done.   Computex Taipei will be the center of the technostorm this year.

(and for all future years going out far into the future -- this is closest to where all the phones are being made).

More smart phones will be sold this upcoming year in India alone than the entire USA.  

China will be MUCH MUCH bigger than India .... and since Lenovo is entering the phone market right now in such a big way Samsung and Google had better tighten up their storm strap rigging belts for some right stormy weather over the next few years.  

After all, China and Ubuntu are pretty tight right now and Mark Shuttleworth IS looking for somebody to build his Ubuntu phone for him ....  and also remember that China and Google have been at unfriendly loggerheads politically for YEARS and YEARS now.

And when the overall market suddenly expands 3x in a short period of time, some rapid changes in market share, etc. are likely to take place.

Predictions:

Apple will fall to a mid-level range player in world-wide phone and tablet space.  

Ditto for Microsoft, except they are already there and will fall yet further compared to the total world marketplace.

Android may remain King, but there will be other princes and princesses coming up to replace Apple and Microsoft.

Samsung may still be phone tablet production leader, but their offerings will have to change a lot (cater MUCH more to an emerging marketplace).

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